“Mega Evolution” Pull Rates Revealed: Gold Cards Nearly Impossible to Pull

The draw rates for the Mega Evolution set were recently revealed by TCGplayer, after opening over 5,000 boosters.

Mega Hyper Rares: rarer than ever

The new gold cards in this set, called Mega Hyper Rares (MHRs) , have a pull rate of 1 in 1260 boosters. This means you'd need an average of 35 booster boxes—or about six cases—to find just one. This makes them the rarest card type released recently, possibly even ever. On the current market, these cards are priced between $500 and $600 each.

Other rarities & pull rates summarized

• Special Illustration Rares (SIRs) occur in a 1 in 101 pack — slightly rarer than in the Scarlet & Violet series, where the chance was around 1 in 90.

• Illustration Rares are now easier to pull: 1 in 9 packs (compared to 1 in 12 previously).

• Ultra Rares can be expected in 1 in 12 packs (previously 1 in 15).

• Double Rares remain unchanged: 1 in 5 packs.

Overall, the chance of a secret rare in a Mega Evolution pack is around 19% , which is at the upper end of the range for Scarlet & Violet sets (16%-20%). The difference with Mega Evolution is that the very highest rarities (MHRs) are much harder to draw, while the "lower" rarities have become somewhat more accessible.

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